The world is not winning the fight against the environmental catastrophe, yet it continues engaged in that effort, the UN climate chief stated in the Brazilian city of Belém following a bitterly contested Cop30 reached a deal.
Delegates at Cop30 were unable to finalize the phase-out on the era of fossil fuels, amid strong opposition from some countries led by the Saudi delegation. Moreover, they underdelivered on a flagship hope, forged at a summit taking place in the Amazon rainforest, to map out a conclusion to deforestation.
However, during a fractious global era of nationalism, war, and distrust, the discussions did not collapse as many had worried. Global diplomacy prevailed – by a narrow margin.
“We were aware this conference was scheduled in turbulent geopolitical conditions,” remarked the UN’s climate chief, after a extended and occasionally heated final plenary at the conference. “Refusal, division and international politics have delivered international cooperation some heavy blows this year.”
Yet the summit showed that “environmental collaboration is alive and kicking”, Stiell continued, alluding indirectly to the United States, which under Donald Trump opted to refrain from sending a delegation to Belém. The former US leader, who has called the climate crisis a “deception” and a “scam”, has personified the resistance to advancement on addressing dangerous climate change.
“I cannot claim we’re winning the battle against climate change. But we are undeniably still engaged, and we are resisting,” Stiell said.
“Here in Belém, countries opted for cohesion, scientific evidence and economic common sense. This year we have seen significant focus on a particular nation withdrawing. Yet despite the strong geopolitical resistance, 194 countries remained resolute in solidarity – rock-solid in backing of climate cooperation.”
Stiell highlighted one section of the Cop30 agreement: “The global transition to reduced carbon output and climate-resilient development cannot be undone and the direction ahead.” He emphasized: “This is a political and economic signal that cannot be ignored.”
The conference began more than a fortnight ago with the leaders’ summit. The organizers from Brazil vowed with early sunny optimism that it would finish on time, however as the negotiations progressed, the uncertainty and obvious divisions between parties increased, and the proceedings looked close to collapse on Friday. Late-night talks that day, however, and compromise from every party meant a agreement could be agreed on Saturday. The conference yielded outcomes on dozens of issues, including a promise to increase financial support for adaptation threefold to safeguard populations from climate impacts, an accord for a fair shift framework, and acknowledgment of the entitlements of Indigenous people.
However suggestions to start planning roadmaps to shift from oil, gas, and coal and halt forest destruction did not gain consensus, and were hived off to initiatives outside the UN to be advanced by coalitions of interested countries. The effects of the food system – for example cattle in deforested areas in the rainforest – were mostly overlooked.
The final agreement was largely seen as minimal progress in the best case, and far less than required to address the accelerating environmental emergency. “The summit started with a bang of ambition but ended with a whimper of disappointment,” said Jasper Inventor from the environmental organization. “This represented the moment to move from talks to action – and it was missed.”
The UN secretary general, António Guterres, said progress was made, but cautioned it was becoming more difficult to reach consensus. “Climate conferences are consensus-based – and in a period of international tensions, unanimity is ever harder to reach. I cannot pretend that Cop30 has delivered everything that is necessary. The disparity between where we are and what science demands remains dangerously wide.”
The EU commissioner for the environment, Wopke Hoekstra, echoed the sense of relief. “The outcome is imperfect, but it is a huge step in the correct path. The EU stood united, advocating for high goals on environmental measures,” he stated, despite the fact that that cohesion was severely challenged.
Merely achieving a deal was favorable, said Anna Åberg from Chatham House. “A summit failure would have been a major and harmful setback at the close of a period characterized by significant difficulties for global environmental efforts and international diplomacy in general. It is encouraging that a deal was concluded in Belém, even if many will – rightly – be dissatisfied with the degree of ambition.”
However there was also deep frustration that, although funding for climate adaptation had been committed, the deadline had been delayed to 2035. Mamadou Ndong Toure from a development organization in West Africa, said: “Climate resilience cannot be established on shrinking commitments; communities on the front lines require reliable, accountable support and a definite plan to act.”
In a comparable vein, while the host nation styled the summit as the “Conference for Native Peoples” and the deal recognized for the initial occasion Indigenous people’s land rights and knowledge as a essential environmental answer, there were still worries that involvement was limited. “In spite of being referred to as an inclusive summit … it became clear that native groups remain excluded from the negotiations,” stated Emil Gualinga of the indigenous community of Sarayaku.
Moreover there was frustration that the concluding document had avoided explicit mention to oil and gas. a climate expert from the University of Exeter, observed: “Despite the host’s utmost attempts, Cop30 will not even be able to persuade countries to agree to ending fossil fuel use. This regrettable result is the consequence of narrow self-interest and opportunistic maneuvering.”
Following a number of years of these annual UN climate gatherings hosted by authoritarian-led countries, there were bursts of colourful protest in the host city as civil society came back strongly. A major march with tens of thousands of protesters lit up the middle Saturday of the conference and advocates expressed their views in an typically grey, sterile summit venue.
“Beginning with protests by native groups at the venue to the over seventy thousand individuals who marched in the streets, there was a tangible feeling of momentum that I haven’t felt for years,” remarked Jamie Henn from an advocacy group.
At least, noted observers, a way forward remains. Prof Michael Grubb from a leading university, said: “The underwhelming result of an conclusion from Cop30 has underlined that a emphasis on the phasing out of fossil fuels is filled with diplomatic hurdles. Looking ahead to the next conference, the focus must be balanced by equal attention to the benefits – the {huge economic potential|
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